Friday, June 27, 2008

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Le scelte di Algoorithm 6.1


Sul pianeta Terra, Algoorithm 6.1 fu lanciato nel 2140. Fu quello il punto di svolta nella relazione Umanità - macchina sul pianeta. Pur essendoci stati elementi che spinsero pochi scettici a criticare l'uso che se ne stava facendo, le tragiche conseguenze rimasero del tutto impreviste. Algoorithm 5.8, il diretto predecessore, dava ottimi risultati e accontentava praticamente la totalità degli utenti. Questo fino al cambio drastico della versione 6.1.

The advanced search engine Algoorithm 5.8, as even a few nostalgic liked to call him before the arrival of 6.1, had access to essentially complete human knowledge. It was a time, those in which any product of the living brain or machine could now be made available to the large network, and thus be seen, read, heard or "felt" more directly through the sensor chips that have more than 90 % of world population could afford.

And obviously the product thought in the past, with the totality of his inventions and events, had already spread from memory time. The physical space to store all the information from texts written by humanity to the daily thoughts of an active NewBlogger of Rete_Sfera, would never have missed thanks to new technologies that encapsulate the bits into atoms packed into crystals semiorganici. In a few cubic centimeters could live the thought of a whole generation of writers with their work or daily feelings and fears. Everything could be digitized, from the written word to the volume of a sculpture, and then processed by Algoorithm.

The right to privacy was still protected, which lasted also 6.1. If a thought or an idea not so formed or not decided, was to be excluded from the network global will of its owner, could be blocked without any problem at source. The export by 5.8 Algoorithm the gray matter of the creator to the external network is open to everyone and everything just was not performed. But in practice few were those who took care not to make public their private side, with the exception of extreme intimacy. Somehow the whole of this phenomenon of partnership, in addition to simple emulation (but important), seemed paradoxically to give the individual a sense of protection and communalism which limited the shame or fear.

What changed in the new version of Algoorithm was a protocol developed inizialmente per massimizzare il successo della pubblicità sull'individuo, in grado di generare vere e proprie scelte e

decisioni

per problemi posti dall'utilizzatore. Non solo rispondeva a domande semplicemente nozionistiche (cosa che da quasi cent'anni ormai avveniva), ma Algoorithm 6.1 poteva "decidere" analizzando tutta l'informazione a lui disponibile. Informazione che ormai si avvicinava ad essere la globalità dell'informazione generata e disponibile sul pianeta. Non che poi le sue decisioni su problemi più o meno importanti avessero qualche effetto diretto sulla realtà fuori dalla rete digitale. Questo fu vero almeno se inteso come effetto independent from the action of Men. But the algorithm was so effective that over time people began to trust and to act upon the output received from the program. This was the cause of the problem.

Its database, then, it was virtually all-encompassing. They now have access, the new algorithm, to practically everything that human produced, and had produced in their history, in terms of ideas and considerations, the preferences and tastes, and philosophy of science, technology and art, history and architecture , as well as individual conversations and instant messages. The statistic was huge, and very widespread. Possessed, and then analyzed "Getting it" (to use a term dear to her programmer), for example, the personal tastes of almost the whole population, who had diligently shared with the network all that seemed good to share, from music to political predilections, by the feeling had on one occasion, the effect of rain on your mood, how to repair the oven ion beam or hydrogen engine of his car.

E 6.1 Algoorithm could see the whole network simultaneously and immediately. The new algorithm used by the handful that information to adjust its parameters and to within a choice applied from the outside, the best answer or strategy maximize the desired outcome.

People began to use the new gadget with curiosity, and most people used it, the more the program could improve himself, like going on for some time now, even without need of direct user feedback. The statistic was so great that provide everything needed to grow "own" the algorithm.

Most different decisions would be sought to Algoorithm 6.1. From clothing to be worn in order to succeed on one occasion, what to cook in the evening for the new host, or for the private citizen and how to find work for a company as a recruitment strategy to follow. All asked the prophecy of this modern haruspex practically omniscient. The game of chess and Go completely lost their attractiveness because solvable by Algoorithm 6.1: Once the personality of the challenger was known (final obstacle to victory systematic machine man), the algorithm could not lose.

there was an unexpected effect in the stock market instead, which of course great attention was focused just released Algoorithm 6.1. Initially, the choices were pretty good software to predict market trends: knowing well the history of all individual companies (including individual employees) was not too difficult to predict the trend a breve-medio termine. L'informazione era semplicemente sufficiente e l'algoritmo capace di leggerla e trovare le giuste correlazioni. E infatti inizialmente fu usato e fece guadagnare molto.

Ma quando una certa massa critica di persone ed enti finanziari iniziarono a usare le decisioni dell'algoritmo per le proprie scelte economiche, il fatto di cercare di prevedere il mercato azionario in cui ora lui stesso con le proprie scelte iniziava ad avere un peso notevole, rese Algoorithm 6.1 totalmente inefficace e instabile, a discapito dei grandi sforzi dei programmatori. Non poteva, l'algoritmo, prevedere qualcosa che dipendeva dalle sue stesse previsioni, la dimensione del problema esplodeva troppo rapidamente anche for its atomic bit.

Once rendered ineffective, meaning the weather and so lost the confidence of the market towards the instrument. Once, however, 'the number of decisions requested by users were then dropped below a threshold, the prediction value and resumed again became strong, so as to attract even the attention of insiders. The strange dynamics produced several rounds of effectiveness and ineffectiveness of the software, following the application variable with the validity of the program itself, then up to generate entirely unpredictable cycles of validity of the predictions. And the unexpected happened, characteristic of the originality of the human world. People began to bet direttamente denaro sulle predizioni di Algoorithm 6.1, e da quel momento, con grande sorpresa di tutti, diventò lui stesso parte del mercato azionario, per così dire, con fluttuazioni del suo valore dipendente da tutto il resto. Il mercato si mangiò, digerendolo bene, Algoorithm 6.1.

Questo che poteva essere letto come un insuccesso, invece non scoraggiò la classe politica del pianeta. In effetti a loro discolpa può essere detto che il massiccio utilizzo nelle scelte politiche (soprattutto di politica estera) di Algoorithm 6.1 fu praticamente contemporaneo a quello nel gioco in borsa che ne rivelò per primo le patologie. Purtroppo era forse troppo presto per capire la pericolosità dell'auto referenza di Algoorithm 6.1 nel prendere le proprie decisioni, ma sicuramente i gerarchi politici del pianeta intero usarono quello strumento, che si sarebbe rivelato instabile, a cuor troppo leggero. Tanta era la fiducia che si era guadagnato sul campo nel primo periodo dopo la sua uscita. Lo usarono appunto per risolvere questioni di politica estera di importanza capitale. Come per esempio la gestione della crisi delle fonti energetiche, che aveva lasciato il pianeta in fermento dopo la notizia dell'esaurimento totale da li a pochi anni delle miniere d'idrogeno solido, insieme alle poche sorgenti trovate su Marte di quel Neodimio debolmente radioattivo che faceva tanto sperare come generazione futura di propellente a basso impatto.

Guidate da un algoritmo confuso e destabilizzato dal non poter evitare di mettere le proprie stesse scelte come parametro per generarne delle nuove, le decisioni dei politici terrestri furono globalmente un clamoroso disastro, e fecero piombare il pianeta nel baratro di una guerra, che dal nostro punto di osservazione possiamo benissimo definire civile . Nel loro anno 2147, quella civiltà degli Umani si auto-estinse sotto l'azione di armi di nuova concezione sviluppate contemporaneamente dalle varie fazioni geografiche in lotta.

Qual'è quindi l'insegnamento che possiamo trarre dalla storia di quel popolo su quel piccolo pianeta lontano? La technology and its algorithms were not yet ready to Earth, the leap to self reference. The natural evolution had actually taken on carbon-based living systems (and humans before other) to the jump required to create and pass along the idea (and hence the contradiction) inherent to the concept of "self." We know for a common experience, that this step toward understanding that we Existing NGCx189 the galaxy we have gained a higher level, does not depend strictly on the atoms of which we are made of Tellurium. It seems that the humans were on the right direction (although not for certain elements we now assert it), and a final so catastrophic that civilization would not have occurred, short-sighted selfishness had not sinned in front of a global crisis, and had not taken into account so with disarming confidence the partial results of their imperfect technology.

Rather than look at themselves more effectively to develop their own evolution (which, however, was already well beyond the early stages of animal life, unwittingly), they were dazzled by their artifacts are still too primitive. Instead of a mind groped to build a new substrate, which is certainly as difficult as possible in the short term, they might have done better to focus on developing and improving its already existing, which promised so much.

here conclude my speech, thanking the organization of this session 23.2y.1 "Different Cognitive Systems in pre-Inclusive Nearby Galaxies", which closes here, and I yield the floor to the next speaker, from NGZ-23.1.

FP aSx.31

I.0.1.77 class.

NGCx189 Galaxy - 12v.1.66 place - time 12c.4.4.56

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